BOJ Signals Interest Rate Reduction Following Ease in Monetary Policy Stance

The Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) has signalled to commercial banks and other deposit-taking institutions (DTIs) that interest rates are on a downward path.

For the first time since October 2022, the BOJ’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided to cautiously ease its monetary policy stance.

Effective Wednesday (August 21), the Central Bank’s indicative policy interest rate was reduced by 25 basis points to 6.75 per cent per annum.

This reduction means that commercial banks and other DTIs could commence lowering the rates at which they offer loans and other lines of credit to consumers.

Speaking during the BOJ’s Quarterly Monetary Policy Report press conference at the Montego Bay Convention Centre on Wednesday (August 21), Governor, Richard Byles, noted that consumers started to benefit from its previous decision to increase market liquidity, adding that the policy rate reduction will continue that trend.

“Rates have started to come down already from June, and the policy rate reduction of 25 basis points is really a signal. In and of itself, it is not really such a material thing. A bank that has a deposit with us earning seven per cent yesterday is not likely to move that out in a rush because it went to 6.75 per cent. But it says to the banks and to the business community that [reducing interest rates] is the trend… so get ready,” he said.

Based on assessments coming out of meetings on August 16 and 19, the MPC determined that the current economic environment supports a cautious easing of the monetary policy stance.

The Committee also disclosed that there was a unanimous agreement to implement several key decisions aimed at promoting stability and growth in the Jamaican economy.

Other decisions which were made include plans to continue gradually reducing BOJ’s absorption of liquidity from DTIs through open-market operations.

The BOJ said the MPC’s previous decision in June 2024 to reduce liquidity absorption has already injected $20.5 billion into the system.

Additionally, efforts will be made to maintain relative stability in the foreign exchange market.

Following the last consumer price index report from the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN), inflation was found to be more anchored within the Bank’s four to six per cent target range, with annual headline inflation reported at 5.1 per cent in July 2024.

The MPC noted that inflation has consistently remained within the target range over the past five months.

Core inflation, excluding agricultural food products and fuel, was at 4.5 per cent in July 2024, indicating a gradual decrease in underlying inflation since the beginning of the year.

“Despite the impact of Hurricane Beryl, the MPC projects inflation to remain largely within the Bank’s target range over the next two years. Short-term forecasts indicate a temporary rise in inflation, primarily due to disruptions in agricultural supplies caused by the hurricane. However, the MPC expects inflation to return to the target range after this initial shock,” Governor Byles indicated.

Looking ahead, the BOJ said economic conditions appear favourable for maintaining low, stable and predictable inflation.

The MPC believes that domestic fiscal policy responses to the post-hurricane recovery efforts, along with the Bank’s monetary policy posture, will continue to support favourable economic conditions.

Domestic demand, wage pressures and inflation expectations are showing signs of moderation, aided by stable foreign exchange rates and international commodity prices.

The MPC emphasised that any future decisions regarding further interest rate reductions will be data-dependent.

The next policy decision announcement is scheduled for September 30.